Kyle Berglund — Tucson REALTOR®, Tierra Antigua Realty

North of Oro Valley, the Rooftops Outran the Retail

Thousands of homes, one unbuilt shopping center: what the SR 77 corridor at SaddleBrooke and SaddleBrooke Ranch offers buyers, and what it still lacks.

August 1, 2026 · High Growth Area · 5 min read

An illustrative dusk scene of a desert highway running north toward layered purple mountain ridgelines under an amber-to-indigo Sonoran sunset — a flat graded dirt pad edged with a chain-link fence and red-flagged survey stakes on the left, a cluster of low tile-roofed houses with lit windows on the right, saguaros, ocotillo and prickly pear along both shoulders, and a green highway shield reading 77 on a post beside the road.

State Route 77 crosses into Arizona's fastest-growing county about half an hour past Oro Valley. Two master plans keep adding houses up there. The shopping center meant to serve them is still a graded pad.

There are roughly 5,750 homes up Oracle Road past Oro Valley, several thousand more platted behind them, and the shopping center meant to serve all of it is a graded dirt pad. Drive north and the strip centers thin out, then quit entirely; the pavement crosses out of Pima County into Pinal, and on the far side sit two of the largest residential build-outs in the Tucson region. The retail was drawn on their corner in 2008 and has not been built since.

5,750
Existing homes in SaddleBrooke, per the retail developer's site plan
5,400
Homes projected at SaddleBrooke Ranch at full build-out
119,904 sq ft
Retail center planned at Oracle Rd. and SaddleBrooke Blvd., unbuilt
3.7%
Pinal County population growth, July 2024 to July 2025

Where the Corridor Starts

State Route 77 is Oracle Road, and the stretch that matters here runs from the north end of Oro Valley up past Catalina and across the Pinal County line. SaddleBrooke Ranch, the northernmost of the two big master plans, sits about 28 miles north of central Tucson — close enough that the drive is a commute rather than a relocation, far enough that the services most buyers assume are nearby are not. The SaddleBrooke census designated place recorded 12,574 residents in the 2020 Census across 29.29 square miles of land, which is a low density by any measure and part of why retail has been slow to pencil out. Both SaddleBrooke and SaddleBrooke Ranch are age-restricted communities; Eagle Crest, a smaller subdivision inside the same census place, is not.

Two Build-Outs at Different Stages

SaddleBrooke is the older and larger of the pair — roughly 5,750 existing homes, organized into two homeowner-association communities, SaddleBrooke One and SaddleBrooke Two, the latter including the Preserve subdivision. SaddleBrooke Ranch, developed by Robson Resort Communities, dates to 2008 and is the one still absorbing new construction, with a projected 5,400 homes at full build-out and new homes advertised from $336,900. That entry price is worth holding next to the metro number: Zillow put the average Tucson home value at $325,520 as of June 30, 2026, down about 2.2 percent year over year. New construction up the corridor starts within a few thousand dollars of the average existing home value across the whole metro — which tells you the corridor competes on product and lot, not on discount.

  • SaddleBrooke (~5,750 homes, Two HOAs, Age-restricted): The established half of the corridor, split into SaddleBrooke One and SaddleBrooke Two, with the Preserve inside the latter. Homes here are resale rather than new build.
  • SaddleBrooke Ranch (Since 2008, 5,400 at build-out, From $336,900): Robson Resort Communities' active build-out about 28 miles north of central Tucson, and the place along this corridor where new construction is still being released.
  • Eagle Crest (All ages, Inside the CDP, Smaller): A smaller subdivision within the SaddleBrooke census designated place that carries no age restriction — the exception on a corridor otherwise built around them.
  • Catalina / Golder Ranch (Bashas', 15310 N. Oracle, 54,000 sq ft): The nearest full-size supermarket sits south of the county line in Golder Ranch Plaza, which is where most everyday shopping for the corridor still happens.

The Center That Keeps Not Getting Built

SaddleBrooke Marketplace has a full set of plans and almost nothing to show for them. The Phoenix-based Pederson Group entered the partnership in 2008 for a 119,904-square-foot center at Oracle Road and SaddleBrooke Boulevard, anchored by a 78,800-square-foot Fry's Food Store and fueling station, with shops, restaurants, and several freestanding pads. Underground utilities, concrete drainage, and preconstruction grading are already in the ground. Groundbreaking has been announced and missed more than once, and the "Fry's is coming soon" billboard has come down. In a February 4, 2026 update, Pederson chief operating officer Rob Bassett said there was no progress to report and no final decision to move forward, citing the construction cost environment; both Fry's and Pederson continue to pursue the project but could not give timing. Kroger, which owns Fry's, holds the other half of that decision.

What the County Line Changes

Crossing from Pima into Pinal changes the county assessor, the taxing districts, the permitting counter, and the emergency service districts a property belongs to — none of which show up in a listing photo, and all of which belong on a due-diligence list before an offer. It also puts a buyer in the fastest-growing county in Arizona: the Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity measured Pinal County growing 3.7 percent between July 2024 and July 2025, the highest rate among the state's fifteen counties. Household growth here is running well ahead of the commercial development that normally follows it, so the practical question for anyone shopping the corridor is not whether it is growing but how far you are willing to drive for a gallon of milk while it does.

How to Shop It

Three things are worth measuring before you commit. Drive the corridor at the hour you would actually drive it — the run down to Oro Valley's retail and medical offices is the trip you will repeat, and a Sunday morning will lie to you about it. Price new against resale directly: SaddleBrooke Ranch is still releasing new construction while SaddleBrooke trades as an established resale market, and those two behave differently when the metro softens, as it has this year. And read the age restriction as the recorded document it is rather than a marketing line — SaddleBrooke, SaddleBrooke Two, the Preserve, Eagle Crest, and SaddleBrooke Ranch are not interchangeable, so confirm which one a specific address sits in.

Quick reference (August 1, 2026): SaddleBrooke and SaddleBrooke Ranch sit along State Route 77 (Oracle Road) north of Oro Valley, the Ranch about 28 miles north of central Tucson. SaddleBrooke has roughly 5,750 existing homes; the Ranch is projected at 5,400 at build-out, with new homes from $336,900. The 119,904-square-foot SaddleBrooke Marketplace, with its planned 78,800-square-foot Fry's, is still unbuilt — no progress as of February 4, 2026. Confirm current details before relying on any figure.

The Takeaway

The corridor north of Oro Valley is the clearest local example of rooftops arriving before commerce. Thousands of homes are in place, a few thousand more are coming, the county around them is growing faster than any other in Arizona, and the retail center meant to serve all of it has been a graded pad for the better part of two decades. That is not an argument against buying there — it is an argument for knowing exactly what the drive looks like, and for treating the shopping center as something that may arrive rather than something that will.

Sources

Pederson Group — "SaddleBrooke Marketplace" project page — pedersoninc.com/saddlebrooke-marketplace — accessed August 1, 2026 (for the 119,904-square-foot center at Oracle Road and SaddleBrooke Boulevard, the 78,800-square-foot Fry's Food Store and fueling station, the shops, restaurants and freestanding pads, the roughly 5,750 existing homes in SaddleBrooke, and the trade area spanning Oro Valley/Rancho Vistoso, Catalina, Eagle Crest, SaddleBrooke, SaddleBrooke Ranch, Oracle, Mammoth and San Manuel). SaddleBrooke Progress — "SaddleBrooke Marketplace Update" — saddlebrookeprogress.com/saddlebrooke-marketplace-update-2 — published February 4, 2026, accessed August 1, 2026 (for Pederson Group chief operating officer Rob Bassett reporting no progress and no final decision to move forward, the construction cost environment, the underground utility infrastructure, concrete drainage and preconstruction grading already invested, Fry's and Pederson continuing to pursue the project without a timeline, the removed "Fry's is coming soon" billboard, and Kroger's role in the decision). Robson Resort Communities — "SaddleBrooke Ranch" — robson.com/communities/saddlebrooke-ranch — accessed August 1, 2026 (for the community's 2008 start, its location in Oracle roughly 28 miles north of central Tucson, and new homes advertised from $336,900). 55places — "SaddleBrooke Ranch" community profile — 55places.com/arizona/communities/saddlebrooke-ranch — accessed August 1, 2026 (for the projected 5,400 homes at full build-out and the age-restricted status). Wikipedia — "Saddlebrooke, Arizona" — en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Saddlebrooke,_Arizona — accessed August 1, 2026 (for the 12,574 population at the 2020 Census, the 29.29-square-mile land area of the census designated place, the SaddleBrooke One and SaddleBrooke Two homeowner associations, the Preserve subdivision within SaddleBrooke Two, and Eagle Crest as an all-ages subdivision inside the CDP). Arizona Public Media — "Pinal County leads Arizona in growth, while some southern Arizona cities lag" — news.azpm.org — published May 15, 2026, accessed August 1, 2026 (for the Arizona Office of Economic Opportunity finding Pinal County grew 3.7 percent between July 2024 and July 2025, the highest rate among the state's fifteen counties). Arizona Daily Star / tucson.com — "Catalina's supermarket" — tucson.com — accessed August 1, 2026 (for the Bashas' at 15310 N. Oracle Road in Golder Ranch Plaza and its 54,000 square feet). Zillow — "Tucson, AZ Housing Market" — zillow.com/home-values/7481/tucson-az — accessed August 1, 2026 (for the average Tucson home value of $325,520 as of June 30, 2026, down about 2.2 percent year over year). All figures are current as of August 1, 2026; prices, project timelines, and community rules change, so confirm current details before relying on any single figure. This post is for informational purposes only and is not an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to purchase real estate. Kyle Berglund and Tierra Antigua Realty fully support and comply with the Fair Housing Act and the Equal Opportunity Act.

Topics

  • High Growth Area
  • SaddleBrooke
  • SaddleBrooke Ranch
  • Oracle Road
  • State Route 77
  • Pinal County
  • Catalina
  • Oro Valley
  • Tucson
  • 85739